2020.03.20

Official Numbers:

• 272,351 confirmed infections
• 11,299 confirmed deaths
• 87,965 confirmed recoveries

I am much too lazy to go look over data from the last few weeks to confirm but does it seem to anyone else like that deaths number is getting bigger WAAAAAY faster than that recoveries number?

• 81,250 China
• 47,021 Italy
• 20,410 Spain
• 19,848 Germany
• 19,644 Iran
• 19,285 US
• 12,632 France
• 8,652 Korea, South
• 5,294 Switzerland
• 4,014 United Kingdom
• 3,003 Netherlands
• 2,388 Austria
• 2,257 Belgium
• 1,914 Norway
• 1,639 Sweden
• 1,337 Denmark
• 1,030 Malaysia
• 1,020 Portugal

USA

• Congress is trying to use the crisis to start the boogaloo. This seems unwise
• New York City will run out of medical supplies within three weeks.
• US government allegedly going to ask the operators of utilities to live in their power plants and such, to make sure they keep running. This is consistent with rumours I’ve been hearing for two weeks now
• National shelter-in-place is coming, apparently
• New York State implements shelter-in-place type rules.
• Concerningly high fraction of young people infected in New York. Still really wish I had more reliable information on relative severity by age group

Science/Medical

• Supplementing Vitamin D probably helps with avoiding infection
• Roundup of vaccines, theraputics, etc., and promising areas for investigation
• Looking for evidence of COVID-19 in influenza data

Markets

• Goldman Sachs forecasts the Q2 2020 growth rate at MINUS TWENTY FOUR PERCENT